Bougainville Series #5: The Trail To Hell Again
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20 (6 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 14
Defender wins (Japanese): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 935 | 967 | 45% | 2017-01-27 | Lost |
| 954 | 890 | 59% | 2016-05-23 | Won |
| 1074 | 1084 | 49% | 2012-06-10 | Lost |
| 898 | 907 | 49% | 2012-04-21 | Won |
| 1203 | 1209 | 49% | 2012-04-21 | Won |
| 1098 | 881 | 78% | 2012-04-10 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1027 vs 989.7 has a 55.35% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).