Semper Paratus
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (17 on the archive and 30 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 21
Defender wins (German): 26
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1056 | 1000 | 58% | 2024-10-20 | Lost |
| 1001 | 981 | 53% | 2022-11-12 | Lost |
| 1042 | 954 | 62% | 2022-07-14 | Won |
| 935 | 1015 | 39% | 2021-06-20 | Lost |
| 1170 | 1170 | 50% | 2020-12-20 | Lost |
| 988 | 966 | 53% | 2020-05-01 | Won |
| 1007 | 924 | 62% | 2020-04-05 | Lost |
| 940 | 917 | 53% | 2017-01-04 | Won |
| 1186 | 1022 | 72% | 2016-01-18 | Won |
| 1096 | 916 | 74% | 2013-11-22 | Won |
| 975 | 1040 | 41% | 2013-11-16 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1094 | 37% | 2013-08-09 | Won |
| 1002 | 1054 | 43% | 2013-07-01 | Won |
| 1054 | 1002 | 57% | 2013-07-01 | Won |
| 1013 | 1186 | 27% | 2013-03-22 | Won |
| 1165 | 1040 | 67% | 2013-03-07 | Won |
| 962 | 803 | 71% | 2013-02-04 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1035.1 vs 1004.9 has a 54.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).