Operation Natzmer
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 42 (22 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 25
Defender wins (Russian): 17
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1096 | 1096 | 50% | 2022-11-07 | Won |
| 1096 | 1096 | 50% | 2022-11-07 | Won |
| 1096 | 1096 | 50% | 2022-11-07 | Won |
| 1096 | 1096 | 50% | 2022-11-07 | Won |
| 956 | 947 | 51% | 2022-08-20 | Lost |
| 986 | 1012 | 46% | 2022-07-08 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1073 | 49% | 2021-07-10 | Won |
| 982 | 1029 | 43% | 2021-07-10 | Won |
| 983 | 964 | 53% | 2021-03-05 | Won |
| 995 | 1058 | 41% | 2020-11-07 | Won |
| 945 | 1408 | 7% | 2020-10-21 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1137 | 48% | 2020-07-04 | Won |
| 1006 | 968 | 55% | 2020-04-17 | Lost |
| 967 | 1066 | 36% | 2020-04-14 | Won |
| 1113 | 995 | 66% | 2018-12-16 | Lost |
| 995 | 1003 | 49% | 2017-02-02 | Won |
| 1111 | 1122 | 48% | 2015-11-13 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1184 | 41% | 2015-10-20 | Lost |
| 1408 | 1147 | 82% | 2015-01-18 | Won |
| 1005 | 1005 | 50% | 2014-12-07 | Lost |
| 978 | 995 | 48% | 2013-11-04 | Won |
| 1408 | 1178 | 79% | 2013-10-28 | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1069.9 vs 1076.1 has a 49.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).