Slicing the Throat
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 73 (18 on the archive and 55 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 54
Defender wins (British): 18
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1062 | 984 | 61% | 2024-10-30 | Won |
| 1135 | 999 | 69% | 2024-08-24 | Won |
| 999 | 1135 | 31% | 2024-08-24 | Won |
| 1000 | 965 | 55% | 2024-01-22 | Tied |
| 942 | 963 | 47% | 2020-10-31 | Won |
| 1191 | 1183 | 51% | 2020-09-25 | Won |
| 1211 | 1078 | 68% | 2019-06-17 | Won |
| 1133 | 1057 | 61% | 2019-04-04 | Won |
| 1242 | 1012 | 79% | 2018-06-03 | Won |
| 1242 | 1012 | 79% | 2018-06-03 | Won |
| 964 | 947 | 52% | 2016-10-22 | Lost |
| 957 | 954 | 50% | 2016-08-20 | Won |
| 1070 | 1066 | 51% | 2015-12-01 | Won |
| 916 | 977 | 41% | 2014-07-13 | Won |
| 837 | 924 | 38% | 2014-06-21 | Lost |
| 1125 | 976 | 70% | 2014-05-30 | Won |
| 1062 | 1040 | 53% | 2014-05-23 | Won |
| 922 | 995 | 40% | 2014-04-16 | Won |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1056.1 vs 1014.8 has a 55.91% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).