An Estonian Interlude
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (17 on the archive and 44 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Estonian): 30
Defender wins (Russian): 31
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 932 | 1164 | 21% | 2024-06-22 | Won |
| 863 | 1121 | 18% | 2024-06-22 | Won |
| 988 | 947 | 56% | 2021-11-29 | Lost |
| 1191 | 1208 | 48% | 2020-11-06 | Won |
| 916 | 977 | 41% | 2020-09-13 | Won |
| 1238 | 1005 | 79% | 2018-12-11 | Lost |
| 1166 | 976 | 75% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
| 903 | 927 | 47% | 2015-05-17 | Lost |
| 1279 | 1156 | 67% | 2015-03-26 | Won |
| 1106 | 1097 | 51% | 2015-03-06 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1074 | 53% | 2015-02-07 | Lost |
| 1067 | 907 | 72% | 2015-02-06 | Lost |
| 1075 | 986 | 63% | 2014-10-30 | Won |
| 1012 | 889 | 67% | 2014-10-10 | Won |
| 916 | 1074 | 29% | 2014-10-07 | Won |
| 974 | 1043 | 40% | 2014-10-07 | Won |
| 840 | 1120 | 17% | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1033.2 vs 1039.5 has a 49.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).