Over the Hills
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26 (10 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 13
Defender wins (Polish): 12
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1110 | 1040 | 60% | 2024-03-18 | Lost |
1176 | 903 | 83% | 2023-04-10 | Won |
946 | 1200 | 19% | 2021-04-13 | Won |
1059 | 1062 | 50% | 2021-02-09 | Won |
1069 | 1120 | 43% | 2020-10-12 | Won |
791 | 1120 | 13% | 2020-09-08 | Lost |
1207 | 931 | 83% | 2019-06-30 | Won |
1207 | 931 | 83% | 2019-06-30 | Tied |
1075 | 981 | 63% | 2017-09-21 | Lost |
985 | 1279 | 16% | 2017-02-02 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1062.5 vs 1056.7 has a 50.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).