Iron Greeting
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 100 (29 on the archive and 71 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 63
Defender wins (Russian): 37
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-01-30 | Won |
| 1000 | 1103 | 36% | 2023-07-13 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1020 | 50% | 2022-03-08 | Won |
| 942 | 918 | 53% | 2021-09-06 | Won |
| 987 | 976 | 52% | 2021-06-18 | Lost |
| 946 | 932 | 52% | 2020-12-18 | Won |
| 971 | 928 | 56% | 2020-06-12 | Won |
| 931 | 1207 | 17% | 2019-12-15 | Won |
| 1155 | 1069 | 62% | 2019-10-06 | Won |
| 1183 | 1194 | 48% | 2019-09-29 | Won |
| 898 | 963 | 41% | 2019-01-27 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1053 | 56% | 2018-10-22 | Lost |
| 992 | 916 | 61% | 2018-10-19 | Lost |
| 1155 | 1069 | 62% | 2018-10-03 | Won |
| 990 | 954 | 55% | 2017-12-26 | Won |
| 968 | 1017 | 43% | 2017-09-09 | Lost |
| 1040 | 989 | 57% | 2017-06-23 | Won |
| 989 | 992 | 50% | 2017-02-17 | Lost |
| 1239 | 946 | 84% | 2017-01-16 | Won |
| 1309 | 998 | 86% | 2016-09-04 | Won |
| 1247 | 1223 | 53% | 2016-09-03 | Won |
| 999 | 995 | 51% | 2016-08-10 | Won |
| 1223 | 1012 | 77% | 2016-07-29 | Won |
| 947 | 1013 | 41% | 2016-07-29 | Won |
| 974 | 1062 | 38% | 2016-07-09 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1149 | 40% | 2016-06-13 | Won |
| 1155 | 1120 | 55% | 2016-03-29 | Won |
| 1279 | 1141 | 69% | 2016-03-16 | Won |
| 889 | 1142 | 19% | 2016-03-01 | Won |
Attacking (21 wins) average ELOs: 1055.1 vs 1038 has a 52.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).