Tigers and Flames
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 86 (14 on the archive and 72 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 40
Defender wins (German): 46
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1074 | 1064 | 51% | 2022-01-04 | Won |
917 | 967 | 43% | 2020-09-01 | Won |
1015 | 935 | 61% | 2017-07-11 | Lost |
1015 | 935 | 61% | 2017-04-18 | Won |
1099 | 1058 | 56% | 2017-04-16 | Lost |
1198 | 966 | 79% | 2017-03-30 | Won |
976 | 1188 | 23% | 2016-11-21 | Lost |
1090 | 1096 | 49% | 2016-10-01 | Won |
1056 | 1214 | 29% | 2016-09-23 | Won |
1094 | 869 | 79% | 2016-09-21 | Won |
994 | 890 | 65% | 2016-08-19 | Won |
1323 | 1058 | 82% | 2016-06-04 | Won |
1044 | 1091 | 43% | 2016-05-31 | Lost |
1223 | 1171 | 57% | 2016-04-03 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1079.9 vs 1035.9 has a 56.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).