Confusion Reigns
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (American): 11
Defender wins (German): 2
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 968 | 968 | 50% | 2024-02-20 | Won |
| 968 | 968 | 50% | 2022-03-29 | Won |
| 1226 | 1259 | 45% | 2022-03-03 | Lost |
| 1069 | 1120 | 43% | 2021-03-05 | Won |
| 1069 | 1173 | 35% | 2021-03-02 | Won |
| 1120 | 1069 | 57% | 2021-03-01 | Won |
| 928 | 971 | 44% | 2021-02-08 | Lost |
| 1039 | 989 | 57% | 2021-01-04 | Won |
| 1081 | 946 | 69% | 2020-04-07 | Won |
| 945 | 969 | 47% | 2019-02-09 | Won |
| 1259 | 935 | 87% | 2016-12-06 | Won |
| 847 | 855 | 49% | 2016-11-02 | Won |
| 1091 | 995 | 63% | 2016-10-06 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1046.9 vs 1016.7 has a 54.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).