Not Out of the Woods Yet
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (12 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 14
Defender wins (German): 13
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 965 | 876 | 63% | 2024-08-28 | Lost |
| 898 | 992 | 37% | 2024-04-27 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1000 | 62% | 2024-04-27 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1075 | 51% | 2024-04-27 | Won |
| 1185 | 1084 | 64% | 2024-03-05 | Lost |
| 1023 | 993 | 54% | 2023-10-25 | Lost |
| 1024 | 907 | 66% | 2021-10-20 | Lost |
| 989 | 1039 | 43% | 2020-09-26 | Won |
| 1087 | 912 | 73% | 2020-08-24 | Won |
| 969 | 969 | 50% | 2019-07-03 | Won |
| 1058 | 949 | 65% | 2018-10-14 | Won |
| 1007 | 1230 | 22% | 2017-10-14 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1031.2 vs 1002.2 has a 54.16% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).