A Simple Solution
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 50 (13 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 21
Defender wins (German): 29
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1034 | 1034 | 50% | 2020-08-03 | Won |
| 1084 | 1062 | 53% | 2020-05-22 | Lost |
| 1073 | 976 | 64% | 2020-01-18 | Won |
| 995 | 999 | 49% | 2019-06-21 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1096 | 41% | 2019-04-11 | Lost |
| 874 | 916 | 44% | 2019-02-27 | Won |
| 907 | 968 | 41% | 2019-01-19 | Lost |
| 922 | 995 | 40% | 2017-12-07 | Lost |
| 925 | 1065 | 31% | 2017-11-19 | Won |
| 999 | 995 | 51% | 2017-11-10 | Won |
| 1057 | 976 | 61% | 2017-02-17 | Won |
| 1209 | 1074 | 69% | 2017-01-14 | Lost |
| 1132 | 958 | 73% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1018.5 vs 1008.8 has a 51.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).