The Krinkelterwald
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 42 (12 on the archive and 30 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 19
Defender wins (American): 23
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 975 | 1020 | 44% | 2024-10-12 | Won |
| 1116 | 986 | 68% | 2024-06-23 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1064 | 50% | 2023-07-05 | Won |
| 1020 | 963 | 58% | 2021-07-16 | Lost |
| 923 | 965 | 44% | 2020-03-26 | Lost |
| 1009 | 978 | 54% | 2019-12-07 | Won |
| 882 | 1020 | 31% | 2019-03-22 | Won |
| 900 | 976 | 39% | 2019-03-22 | Lost |
| 1005 | 976 | 54% | 2018-12-10 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1006 | 52% | 2018-04-07 | Won |
| 1084 | 1074 | 51% | 2018-03-07 | Won |
| 1131 | 1210 | 39% | 2017-10-06 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1010.6 vs 1019.8 has a 48.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).