The Chivres Shivaree
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12 (7 on the archive and 5 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 5
Defender wins (German): 7
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 947 | 964 | 48% | 2024-06-06 | Lost |
| 992 | 989 | 50% | 2018-06-27 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1230 | 32% | 2018-06-24 | Lost |
| 999 | 995 | 51% | 2018-06-24 | Won |
| 956 | 1057 | 36% | 2018-06-24 | Lost |
| 998 | 1259 | 18% | 2018-05-03 | Lost |
| 1259 | 998 | 82% | 2018-05-01 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1035.4 vs 1070.3 has a 45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).