Mauled at Merdorp
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 56 (13 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 28
Defender wins (French): 28
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 916 | 942 | 46% | 2022-05-21 | Won |
| 976 | 1092 | 34% | 2022-03-25 | Lost |
| 976 | 1000 | 47% | 2022-03-22 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2020-01-17 | Lost |
| 964 | 1140 | 27% | 2019-08-31 | Lost |
| 963 | 1027 | 41% | 2019-05-17 | Won |
| 922 | 995 | 40% | 2018-10-24 | Lost |
| 992 | 989 | 50% | 2018-05-21 | Won |
| 1230 | 1052 | 74% | 2018-05-18 | Lost |
| 999 | 995 | 51% | 2018-04-28 | Lost |
| 1271 | 1207 | 59% | 2018-04-20 | Lost |
| 1155 | 1054 | 64% | 2018-03-16 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1022 | 57% | 2018-03-10 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1031.5 vs 1037.8 has a 49.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).