Liehr Launches First
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 136 (40 on the archive and 96 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 65
Defender wins (American): 70
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 989 | 992 | 50% | 2024-02-06 | Lost |
| 986 | 968 | 53% | 2023-08-13 | Won |
| 952 | 1015 | 41% | 2022-09-24 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1046 | 49% | 2022-08-03 | Won |
| 1021 | 1036 | 48% | 2022-08-02 | Lost |
| 935 | 1279 | 12% | 2022-05-01 | Lost |
| 1279 | 965 | 86% | 2021-12-27 | Won |
| 1000 | 1279 | 17% | 2021-12-27 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1038 | 54% | 2021-12-11 | Won |
| 980 | 1003 | 47% | 2021-10-10 | Won |
| 1016 | 957 | 58% | 2021-08-28 | Lost |
| 971 | 886 | 62% | 2021-07-04 | Won |
| 946 | 989 | 44% | 2021-06-09 | Won |
| 1015 | 1011 | 51% | 2021-04-27 | Won |
| 1142 | 1006 | 69% | 2021-03-21 | Won |
| 925 | 968 | 44% | 2021-03-21 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1040 | 46% | 2021-03-21 | Lost |
| 989 | 1299 | 14% | 2021-01-15 | Lost |
| 1150 | 1063 | 62% | 2020-12-31 | Won |
| 1027 | 1056 | 46% | 2020-09-26 | Won |
| 963 | 963 | 50% | 2019-12-29 | Won |
| 964 | 945 | 53% | 2019-07-27 | Lost |
| 968 | 1058 | 37% | 2019-07-18 | Lost |
| 1259 | 1031 | 79% | 2019-06-14 | Won |
| 983 | 1009 | 46% | 2019-05-26 | Lost |
| 924 | 898 | 54% | 2019-04-07 | Lost |
| 976 | 1153 | 27% | 2019-03-24 | Lost |
| 1239 | 1226 | 52% | 2019-02-08 | Won |
| 995 | 881 | 66% | 2019-01-29 | Won |
| 1084 | 1062 | 53% | 2019-01-19 | Lost |
| 999 | 995 | 51% | 2019-01-03 | Lost |
| 1043 | 879 | 72% | 2019-01-02 | Won |
| 1036 | 1058 | 47% | 2018-12-21 | Won |
| 922 | 995 | 40% | 2018-11-10 | Won |
| 1094 | 1137 | 44% | 2018-11-05 | Lost |
| 865 | 1207 | 12% | 2018-10-27 | Lost |
| 1053 | 976 | 61% | 2018-10-05 | Lost |
| 1093 | 976 | 66% | 2018-09-21 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1009 | 52% | 2018-08-12 | Lost |
| 839 | 1132 | 16% | | Won |
Attacking (19 wins) average ELOs: 1019 vs 1037.2 has a 47.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).