Jackpot Jones
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 124 (39 on the archive and 85 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 56
Defender wins (American): 68
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1062 | 1059 | 50% | 2024-07-28 | Lost |
| 931 | 1062 | 32% | 2024-02-21 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1021 | 52% | 2022-12-27 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1309 | 15% | 2022-06-11 | Lost |
| 1003 | 980 | 53% | 2022-05-30 | Won |
| 1113 | 1015 | 64% | 2022-02-02 | Won |
| 1150 | 1063 | 62% | 2021-01-13 | Lost |
| 916 | 1149 | 21% | 2020-10-10 | Lost |
| 963 | 963 | 50% | 2020-06-27 | Lost |
| 924 | 1031 | 35% | 2020-06-27 | Lost |
| 985 | 946 | 56% | 2020-06-27 | Lost |
| 1004 | 986 | 53% | 2020-06-27 | Won |
| 1062 | 1146 | 38% | 2020-06-27 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1032 | 53% | 2020-06-27 | Won |
| 1065 | 925 | 69% | 2020-05-17 | Won |
| 946 | 1009 | 41% | 2020-04-21 | Won |
| 1092 | 1299 | 23% | 2020-04-16 | Lost |
| 1030 | 981 | 57% | 2020-04-06 | Lost |
| 1183 | 1227 | 44% | 2020-01-26 | Won |
| 945 | 973 | 46% | 2020-01-26 | Won |
| 942 | 1011 | 40% | 2019-11-18 | Lost |
| 924 | 898 | 54% | 2019-10-29 | Lost |
| 988 | 916 | 60% | 2019-10-09 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1043 | 63% | 2019-08-02 | Lost |
| 992 | 989 | 50% | 2019-05-26 | Won |
| 1005 | 976 | 54% | 2019-05-19 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1239 | 24% | 2019-04-17 | Won |
| 1239 | 1085 | 71% | 2019-04-17 | Lost |
| 954 | 1157 | 24% | 2019-03-29 | Won |
| 1062 | 1084 | 47% | 2019-03-10 | Lost |
| 976 | 1011 | 45% | 2019-03-02 | Won |
| 1043 | 879 | 72% | 2019-01-22 | Lost |
| 992 | 989 | 50% | 2019-01-01 | Won |
| 922 | 995 | 40% | 2018-12-10 | Lost |
| 1137 | 939 | 76% | 2018-12-08 | Won |
| 905 | 1020 | 34% | 2018-12-01 | Won |
| 998 | 1259 | 18% | 2018-11-13 | Lost |
| 1207 | 865 | 88% | 2018-11-05 | Won |
| 1020 | 1038 | 47% | 2018-09-11 | Lost |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1024.5 vs 1040.2 has a 47.74% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).