Per L'Onore Di Roma
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 101 (33 on the archive and 68 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 47
Defender wins (Russian): 54
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 922 | 995 | 40% | 2023-10-08 | Lost |
| 1148 | 1279 | 32% | 2023-05-06 | Won |
| 1279 | 1141 | 69% | 2023-05-03 | Lost |
| 983 | 924 | 58% | 2022-10-08 | Won |
| 1133 | 1040 | 63% | 2022-06-17 | Won |
| 1122 | 1122 | 50% | 2022-06-15 | Lost |
| 1207 | 1215 | 49% | 2022-04-01 | Lost |
| 965 | 1309 | 12% | 2021-12-27 | Lost |
| 994 | 1016 | 47% | 2021-11-07 | Lost |
| 922 | 995 | 40% | 2021-10-08 | Lost |
| 968 | 1128 | 28% | 2021-07-15 | Won |
| 1044 | 1128 | 38% | 2021-07-13 | Won |
| 986 | 852 | 68% | 2021-06-27 | Lost |
| 968 | 968 | 50% | 2021-06-07 | Won |
| 943 | 1135 | 25% | 2020-11-14 | Lost |
| 989 | 992 | 50% | 2020-09-22 | Won |
| 1120 | 791 | 87% | 2020-08-10 | Won |
| 1062 | 952 | 65% | 2020-08-03 | Won |
| 1003 | 1028 | 46% | 2020-06-26 | Lost |
| 1011 | 957 | 58% | 2020-06-04 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1084 | 55% | 2020-05-05 | Won |
| 1299 | 1208 | 63% | 2020-04-25 | Lost |
| 1020 | 988 | 55% | 2020-03-10 | Lost |
| 995 | 999 | 49% | 2019-11-08 | Lost |
| 947 | 1026 | 39% | 2019-11-08 | Won |
| 1108 | 947 | 72% | 2019-08-31 | Lost |
| 985 | 968 | 52% | 2019-07-20 | Lost |
| 995 | 1020 | 46% | 2019-03-22 | Won |
| 1181 | 968 | 77% | 2019-03-22 | Won |
| 976 | 1178 | 24% | 2019-03-20 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1120 | 44% | 2019-03-15 | Won |
| 982 | 1062 | 39% | 2018-11-17 | Won |
| 965 | 1132 | 28% | | Lost |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1042.8 vs 1050.5 has a 48.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).