A Push in the Bush
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20 (8 on the archive and 12 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 6
Defender wins (Italian): 14
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1006 | 995 | 52% | 2022-11-21 | Lost |
| 992 | 1113 | 33% | 2022-01-27 | Lost |
| 946 | 1052 | 35% | 2021-06-27 | Won |
| 947 | 964 | 48% | 2020-10-17 | Lost |
| 916 | 1096 | 26% | 2020-03-22 | Won |
| 1027 | 963 | 59% | 2019-11-03 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1279 | 29% | 2019-05-10 | Lost |
| 922 | 995 | 40% | 2019-02-18 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 984.6 vs 1057.1 has a 39.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).