Radio X-MAS
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (10 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 17
Defender wins (American / Partisan): 17
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 924 | 916 | 51% | 2024-09-05 | Won |
| 957 | 1049 | 37% | 2022-10-25 | Lost |
| 1066 | 954 | 66% | 2022-07-10 | Won |
| 1088 | 1083 | 51% | 2022-07-09 | Won |
| 1131 | 1062 | 60% | 2022-04-23 | Won |
| 1230 | 946 | 84% | 2022-02-22 | Won |
| 906 | 1279 | 10% | 2021-10-01 | Lost |
| 922 | 995 | 40% | 2020-02-18 | Lost |
| 906 | 1058 | 29% | 2019-01-13 | Lost |
| 978 | 1279 | 15% | 2019-01-12 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1010.8 vs 1062.1 has a 42.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).