Bailey's Bridge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18 (12 on the archive and 6 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 9
Defender wins (Japanese): 9
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 989 | 1030 | 44% | 2023-01-30 | Won |
| 954 | 943 | 52% | 2023-01-06 | Won |
| 885 | 916 | 46% | 2022-04-04 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1144 | 38% | 2022-01-09 | Won |
| 1021 | 1039 | 47% | 2021-03-25 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1170 | 31% | 2020-05-05 | Won |
| 1040 | 1179 | 31% | 2020-03-19 | Lost |
| 1431 | 1141 | 84% | 2020-02-29 | Won |
| 988 | 983 | 51% | 2020-02-14 | Won |
| 1094 | 945 | 70% | 2020-02-06 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1104 | 38% | 2019-08-17 | Won |
| 1021 | 1040 | 47% | 2019-08-01 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1044.3 vs 1052.8 has a 48.77% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).