A Sideshow Affair
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17 (9 on the archive and 8 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 8
Defender wins (Japanese): 9
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 970 | 1016 | 43% | 2021-07-03 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1292 | 17% | 2020-11-21 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1173 | 34% | 2020-09-05 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1091 | 54% | 2020-08-14 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1150 | 38% | 2020-06-22 | Lost |
| 992 | 992 | 50% | 2020-04-17 | Won |
| 1024 | 981 | 56% | 2020-04-03 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1043 | 56% | 2020-03-04 | Won |
| 1006 | 1113 | 35% | 2019-09-22 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1037.1 vs 1094.6 has a 41.81% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).