The Closer
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 90 (24 on the archive and 66 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 49
Defender wins (Canadian): 40
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1141 | 1279 | 31% | 2024-05-09 | Lost |
| 954 | 1000 | 43% | 2024-04-06 | Won |
| 739 | 819 | 39% | 2023-01-03 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1108 | 48% | 2022-06-10 | Won |
| 1134 | 990 | 70% | 2022-04-09 | Won |
| 999 | 1057 | 42% | 2022-03-31 | Lost |
| 999 | 995 | 51% | 2022-03-31 | Lost |
| 924 | 864 | 59% | 2021-09-25 | Lost |
| 963 | 1021 | 42% | 2021-07-19 | Won |
| 1014 | 1279 | 18% | 2021-07-12 | Lost |
| 1105 | 968 | 69% | 2021-07-11 | Won |
| 995 | 946 | 57% | 2021-06-19 | Lost |
| 946 | 1062 | 34% | 2021-06-09 | Lost |
| 995 | 999 | 49% | 2021-05-07 | Lost |
| 1175 | 1173 | 50% | 2021-04-26 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1046 | 49% | 2021-04-07 | Won |
| 989 | 992 | 50% | 2020-09-14 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1038 | 49% | 2020-06-13 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1042 | 49% | 2020-04-11 | Won |
| 922 | 995 | 40% | 2019-12-16 | Won |
| 1008 | 1183 | 27% | 2019-12-07 | Lost |
| 947 | 964 | 48% | 2019-11-23 | Tied |
| 954 | 979 | 46% | 2019-10-10 | Won |
| 916 | 986 | 40% | 2019-10-10 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1000.9 vs 1032.7 has a 45.44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).