Motoring to Mogilev
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12 (5 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 7
Defender wins (German): 5
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1064 | 1064 | 50% | 2021-11-14 | Lost |
968 | 1006 | 45% | 2020-12-06 | Won |
1116 | 1164 | 43% | 2020-09-08 | Lost |
965 | 1239 | 17% | 2020-03-24 | Lost |
1001 | 1210 | 23% | 2007-08-25 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1022.8 vs 1136.6 has a 34.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).