Feast Day
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 78 (20 on the archive and 58 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 34
Defender wins (German): 44
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
976 | 821 | 71% | 2024-08-03 | Won |
1154 | 986 | 72% | 2024-06-21 | Won |
1164 | 932 | 79% | 2024-06-21 | Lost |
1024 | 907 | 66% | 2023-08-04 | Won |
1060 | 947 | 66% | 2020-12-13 | Lost |
965 | 982 | 48% | 2020-11-29 | Lost |
954 | 1039 | 38% | 2020-11-28 | Lost |
920 | 1009 | 37% | 2020-11-19 | Won |
1074 | 1084 | 49% | 2020-10-10 | Won |
1074 | 1085 | 48% | 2020-10-10 | Won |
1064 | 1064 | 50% | 2020-05-10 | Lost |
1121 | 1061 | 59% | 2020-05-07 | Lost |
819 | 1042 | 22% | 2020-04-26 | Lost |
965 | 1067 | 36% | 2020-04-25 | Lost |
881 | 1006 | 33% | 2020-04-07 | Won |
1096 | 1058 | 55% | 2020-04-02 | Won |
1006 | 975 | 54% | 2020-02-18 | Lost |
1036 | 1044 | 49% | 2020-01-18 | Lost |
1036 | 1207 | 27% | 2020-01-17 | Won |
981 | 1239 | 18% | 2020-01-17 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1018.5 vs 1027.8 has a 48.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).