Eight Million Bayonets
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (18 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 26
Defender wins (Greek): 8
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 989 | 972 | 52% | 2024-11-10 | Won |
| 966 | 988 | 47% | 2024-10-11 | Won |
| 1004 | 1096 | 37% | 2022-10-07 | Won |
| 1040 | 989 | 57% | 2021-05-24 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1040 | 47% | 2021-05-10 | Won |
| 1214 | 1334 | 33% | 2021-04-21 | Won |
| 880 | 1094 | 23% | 2021-03-25 | Lost |
| 880 | 1094 | 23% | 2021-03-25 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1103 | 54% | 2021-03-07 | Won |
| 984 | 1080 | 37% | 2021-02-13 | Won |
| 1073 | 1088 | 48% | 2021-02-11 | Won |
| 1165 | 1040 | 67% | 2020-12-06 | Won |
| 1008 | 876 | 68% | 2020-12-04 | Won |
| 988 | 1109 | 33% | 2020-11-18 | Won |
| 1002 | 1105 | 36% | 2020-11-06 | Won |
| 1188 | 991 | 76% | 2020-11-03 | Won |
| 900 | 991 | 37% | 2020-11-03 | Won |
| 1323 | 1009 | 86% | 2020-10-17 | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1041.8 vs 1055.5 has a 48.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).