First Counterattack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (9 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 18
Defender wins (German): 11
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 963 | 959 | 51% | 2023-10-27 | Won |
| 1033 | 1040 | 49% | 2023-07-28 | Won |
| 957 | 946 | 52% | 2022-09-30 | Won |
| 1016 | 1016 | 50% | 2022-09-30 | Won |
| 1058 | 1062 | 49% | 2021-12-01 | Won |
| 1015 | 1011 | 51% | 2021-11-23 | Won |
| 1141 | 1279 | 31% | 2021-11-10 | Lost |
| 1207 | 1200 | 51% | 2021-08-16 | Won |
| 839 | 1132 | 16% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1025.4 vs 1071.7 has a 43.39% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).