The Golden Mountain
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (7 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Ethiopian): 23
Defender wins (Italian/Eritrean): 13
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 974 | 1039 | 41% | 2024-08-18 | Won |
| 1259 | 927 | 87% | 2022-11-28 | Lost |
| 1299 | 1272 | 54% | 2022-05-31 | Won |
| 869 | 1096 | 21% | 2022-05-17 | Won |
| 1090 | 1042 | 57% | 2022-05-14 | Lost |
| 980 | 995 | 48% | 2022-03-27 | Won |
| 947 | 1120 | 27% | 2022-02-19 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1059.7 vs 1070.1 has a 48.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).