One Story Town
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (18 on the archive and 9 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 10
Defender wins (Russian): 16
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Finnish): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 977 | 1002 | 46% | 2024-11-22 | Lost |
| 777 | 1186 | 9% | 2024-10-14 | Lost |
| 964 | 1045 | 39% | 2024-10-04 | Lost |
| 1012 | 921 | 63% | 2024-05-19 | Won |
| 1073 | 1088 | 48% | 2024-02-02 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1157 | 30% | 2024-01-18 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1062 | 48% | 2023-12-30 | Lost |
| 914 | 956 | 44% | 2023-12-05 | Won |
| 851 | 1040 | 25% | 2023-10-05 | Lost |
| 732 | 1109 | 10% | 2023-09-28 | Lost |
| 935 | 1015 | 39% | 2023-09-12 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1167 | 30% | 2023-08-07 | Lost |
| 981 | 966 | 52% | 2023-07-29 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1025 | 49% | 2023-04-11 | Won |
| 1060 | 1066 | 49% | 2023-03-04 | Won |
| 1060 | 1035 | 54% | 2023-03-01 | Won |
| 1016 | 1040 | 47% | 2023-01-21 | Won |
| 1187 | 1167 | 53% | 2023-01-15 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 979.7 vs 1058.2 has a 38.89% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).