Sore Thumbs
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15 (4 on the archive and 11 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 12
Defender wins (German (SS)): 3
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-04-09 | Won |
| 1279 | 1141 | 69% | 2024-02-02 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1021 | 61% | 2023-09-26 | Won |
| 922 | 995 | 40% | 2023-08-12 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1074.3 vs 1039.3 has a 55.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).