No Better Spot to Die
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27
Attacker wins (German): 20
Defender wins (American): 5
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (American): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 819 | 1011 | 25% | 2023-12-10 | Won |
| 906 | 1084 | 26% | 2020-12-09 | Won |
| 1027 | 896 | 68% | 2020-12-04 | Won |
| 1027 | 896 | 68% | 2020-12-04 | Won |
| 1058 | 949 | 65% | 2018-08-10 | Won |
| 993 | 1023 | 46% | 2017-08-09 | Lost |
| 862 | 881 | 47% | 2017-07-29 | Lost |
| 965 | 1083 | 34% | 2017-01-28 | Won |
| 1122 | 1122 | 50% | 2016-01-07 | Won |
| 1024 | 981 | 56% | 2015-10-22 | Tied |
| 1080 | 966 | 66% | 2014-12-28 | Won |
| 954 | 990 | 45% | 2014-09-06 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1067 | 44% | 2014-08-29 | Won |
| 1038 | 1100 | 41% | 2014-07-21 | Won |
| 1151 | 1238 | 38% | 2013-12-02 | Won |
| 1151 | 956 | 75% | 2013-11-15 | Won |
| 1238 | 1163 | 61% | 2013-09-11 | Lost |
| 969 | 969 | 50% | 2012-04-10 | Won |
| 1040 | 958 | 62% | 2012-02-10 | Won |
| 907 | 1213 | 15% | 2008-08-20 | Won |
| 1006 | 975 | 54% | 2006-06-05 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1043 | 48% | 2004-11-19 | Won |
| 881 | 1034 | 29% | 2004-07-16 | Won |
| 1046 | 947 | 64% | 2003-09-28 | Won |
| 854 | 1074 | 22% | 1999-01-14 | Won |
| 1084 | 881 | 76% | 1993-04-13 | Won |
| 981 | 1024 | 44% | 1992-02-02 | Won |
Attacking (21 wins) average ELOs: 1008.7 vs 1019.4 has a 48.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).