Ambush!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32
Attacker wins (Bulgarian): 16
Defender wins (Partisan): 16
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 970 | 988 | 47% | 2022-08-10 | Won |
| 1151 | 1103 | 57% | 2021-06-21 | Won |
| 1151 | 1103 | 57% | 2021-06-20 | Won |
| 966 | 1038 | 40% | 2020-06-28 | Lost |
| 993 | 1023 | 46% | 2018-06-21 | Won |
| 965 | 1012 | 43% | 2017-10-06 | Lost |
| 851 | 986 | 31% | 2016-11-12 | Lost |
| 851 | 986 | 31% | 2016-11-12 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1019 | 57% | 2016-09-18 | Lost |
| 962 | 1006 | 44% | 2015-04-16 | Won |
| 1047 | 964 | 62% | 2014-11-28 | Won |
| 944 | 1087 | 31% | 2014-06-18 | Won |
| 1228 | 1010 | 78% | 2014-05-25 | Won |
| 1238 | 821 | 92% | 2013-11-26 | Won |
| 1006 | 978 | 54% | 2013-05-22 | Won |
| 1055 | 1122 | 40% | 2011-11-10 | Won |
| 1006 | 916 | 63% | 2010-03-27 | Won |
| 959 | 977 | 47% | 2009-10-16 | Lost |
| 916 | 989 | 40% | 2009-08-25 | Lost |
| 878 | 907 | 46% | 2008-07-18 | Lost |
| 1218 | 947 | 83% | 2006-02-05 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2006-01-24 | Won |
| 891 | 881 | 51% | 2005-01-19 | Lost |
| 947 | 1113 | 28% | 2004-10-17 | Won |
| 1006 | 975 | 54% | 2004-02-27 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1043 | 47% | 2004-01-29 | Won |
| 1030 | 1292 | 18% | 2001-09-25 | Lost |
| 866 | 1074 | 23% | 1998-03-29 | Won |
| 939 | 976 | 45% | 1998-01-17 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1084 | 58% | 1995-08-10 | Lost |
| 981 | 1024 | 44% | 1991-04-17 | Lost |
| 1120 | 840 | 83% | | Lost |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1014.2 vs 1011.9 has a 50.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).