Sylvan Death
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 107 (18 on the archive and 89 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 73
Defender wins (Partisan): 34
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1012 | 959 | 58% | 2024-10-20 | Won |
1012 | 965 | 57% | 2018-11-04 | Won |
993 | 1023 | 46% | 2018-04-28 | Won |
1005 | 1087 | 38% | 2017-01-24 | Won |
907 | 1124 | 22% | 2016-12-30 | Lost |
910 | 965 | 42% | 2016-12-10 | Won |
1010 | 1228 | 22% | 2014-06-29 | Lost |
916 | 951 | 45% | 2014-01-01 | Won |
1006 | 957 | 57% | 2012-06-17 | Won |
1055 | 1111 | 42% | 2011-11-12 | Won |
1026 | 1074 | 43% | 2011-04-12 | Won |
959 | 977 | 47% | 2010-02-08 | Won |
1047 | 1098 | 43% | 2009-01-01 | Lost |
907 | 1213 | 15% | 2008-08-06 | Won |
1075 | 1056 | 53% | 1999-06-19 | Lost |
1110 | 1084 | 54% | 1994-10-22 | Won |
1120 | 844 | 83% | | Lost |
1120 | 840 | 83% | | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1010.6 vs 1030.9 has a 47.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).