Escape from Derna
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (5 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 4
Defender wins (German): 28
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1024 | 907 | 66% | 2020-02-08 | Lost |
| 1023 | 993 | 54% | 2018-03-29 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1037 | 57% | 2012-09-08 | Lost |
| 962 | 1006 | 44% | 2012-08-25 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1138 | 42% | 1995-06-29 | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 1035.6 vs 1016.2 has a 52.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).