Fort McGregor
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (German): 8
Defender wins (British): 2
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 907 | 1024 | 34% | 2020-04-04 | Won |
| 1034 | 976 | 58% | 2019-03-25 | Won |
| 993 | 1023 | 46% | 2019-01-08 | Won |
| 983 | 1009 | 46% | 2018-10-08 | Won |
| 1009 | 983 | 54% | 2018-10-08 | Won |
| 1158 | 1006 | 71% | 2017-04-04 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1067 | 44% | 2014-02-28 | Won |
| 1092 | 947 | 70% | 2008-08-24 | Won |
| 881 | 1098 | 22% | 2005-12-19 | Won |
| 1138 | 1084 | 58% | 1995-07-13 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1021.8 vs 1021.7 has a 50.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).