Into the Fray
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (German): 5
Defender wins (Polish): 9
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 980 | 963 | 52% | 2020-05-29 | Lost |
| 1212 | 907 | 85% | 2019-07-27 | Won |
| 993 | 1023 | 46% | 2017-01-25 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1016 | 49% | 2015-06-06 | Lost |
| 942 | 903 | 56% | 2015-01-18 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1064 | 50% | 2015-01-10 | Won |
| 944 | 1087 | 31% | 2013-07-20 | Won |
| 924 | 924 | 50% | 2012-11-29 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1169 | 38% | 2009-12-18 | Lost |
| 962 | 1006 | 44% | 2005-11-16 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1097 | 41% | 1998-12-07 | Won |
| 976 | 1005 | 46% | 1998-05-22 | Won |
| 1074 | 957 | 66% | 1997-09-01 | Lost |
| 911 | 1084 | 27% | 1993-08-20 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1007.6 vs 1014.6 has a 48.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).