The Gauntlet
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (German): 5
Defender wins (Norwegian): 8
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 996 | 1103 | 35% | 2021-04-27 | Lost |
| 1024 | 907 | 66% | 2020-06-27 | Lost |
| 975 | 994 | 47% | 2019-01-19 | Lost |
| 993 | 1023 | 46% | 2018-03-11 | Lost |
| 903 | 992 | 37% | 2017-01-19 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1094 | 51% | 2011-11-23 | Won |
| 1037 | 1095 | 42% | 2010-11-06 | Won |
| 916 | 1006 | 37% | 2010-05-28 | Lost |
| 1006 | 962 | 56% | 2006-01-18 | Won |
| 1208 | 1120 | 62% | 2005-04-02 | Won |
| 1063 | 1084 | 47% | 1998-08-30 | Won |
| 1024 | 981 | 56% | 1991-03-08 | Lost |
| 1120 | 840 | 83% | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1027.9 vs 1015.5 has a 51.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).