Revenge at Kastelli
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 96 (16 on the archive and 80 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Greek): 47
Defender wins (German): 49
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 907 | 1024 | 34% | 2020-07-18 | Won |
| 1006 | 975 | 54% | 2018-09-09 | Won |
| 1158 | 978 | 74% | 2018-02-05 | Won |
| 1158 | 935 | 78% | 2018-02-05 | Won |
| 1023 | 993 | 54% | 2017-03-21 | Won |
| 865 | 1207 | 12% | 2016-12-27 | Won |
| 1238 | 1054 | 74% | 2014-05-01 | Won |
| 999 | 1003 | 49% | 2014-02-15 | Won |
| 924 | 924 | 50% | 2012-05-29 | Lost |
| 1077 | 1037 | 56% | 2011-07-09 | Lost |
| 962 | 1006 | 44% | 2011-05-05 | Won |
| 1011 | 1011 | 50% | 2011-03-08 | Won |
| 959 | 952 | 51% | 2008-12-12 | Won |
| 866 | 1074 | 23% | 1998-05-20 | Won |
| 1084 | 1110 | 46% | 1995-01-14 | Won |
| 1024 | 981 | 56% | 1991-02-15 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1016.3 vs 1016.5 has a 49.97% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).