Bridge to Nowhere
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 208 (28 on the archive and 180 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 119
Defender wins (Russian): 89
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1124 | 986 | 69% | 2022-03-04 | Won |
| 1058 | 1106 | 43% | 2022-03-04 | Won |
| 993 | 1023 | 46% | 2019-05-14 | Won |
| 1057 | 965 | 63% | 2018-03-17 | Won |
| 1238 | 1238 | 50% | 2017-10-22 | Won |
| 1101 | 1069 | 55% | 2016-01-18 | Won |
| 907 | 1101 | 25% | 2015-11-16 | Lost |
| 1292 | 1030 | 82% | 2015-08-10 | Won |
| 919 | 1066 | 30% | 2014-11-30 | Won |
| 907 | 1030 | 33% | 2014-10-12 | Won |
| 916 | 955 | 44% | 2014-03-30 | Lost |
| 1171 | 1230 | 42% | 2013-02-20 | Lost |
| 962 | 1006 | 44% | 2012-08-16 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1122 | 40% | 2011-11-19 | Won |
| 1125 | 1030 | 63% | 2010-11-15 | Lost |
| 907 | 1030 | 33% | 2010-04-28 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1164 | 43% | 2008-11-06 | Lost |
| 1213 | 907 | 85% | 2007-12-29 | Won |
| 878 | 907 | 46% | 2007-07-02 | Won |
| 1098 | 988 | 65% | 2006-03-31 | Won |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2006-02-14 | Won |
| 1098 | 613 | 94% | 2003-12-13 | Lost |
| 967 | 929 | 55% | 2002-01-12 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1056 | 53% | 1999-03-03 | Lost |
| 1074 | 872 | 76% | 1997-08-12 | Lost |
| 1024 | 981 | 56% | 1994-02-02 | Lost |
| 919 | 1084 | 28% | 1993-09-10 | Won |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1047.9 vs 1021.6 has a 53.77% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).