Half a Chance
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 60 (14 on the archive and 46 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 11
Defender wins (Italian): 49
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-05-18 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1070 | 56% | 2020-06-25 | Lost |
| 907 | 1209 | 15% | 2020-06-05 | Lost |
| 1023 | 993 | 54% | 2019-03-20 | Lost |
| 1292 | 1030 | 82% | 2015-11-10 | Won |
| 1292 | 1030 | 82% | 2015-09-01 | Lost |
| 947 | 1062 | 34% | 2013-07-14 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1208 | 50% | 2012-11-03 | Won |
| 962 | 1006 | 44% | 2012-10-12 | Lost |
| 949 | 1084 | 31% | 2000-08-15 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1084 | 45% | 2000-06-04 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1056 | 53% | 1998-09-10 | Lost |
| 939 | 976 | 45% | 1991-05-10 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1120 | 33% | | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1053.6 vs 1066.3 has a 48.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).