Smertniki
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 71 (12 on the archive and 59 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 32
Defender wins (Japanese): 38
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1023 | 993 | 54% | 2019-09-23 | Won |
| 1020 | 1020 | 50% | 2019-02-18 | Won |
| 1030 | 1292 | 18% | 2015-11-19 | Lost |
| 963 | 1036 | 40% | 2011-07-02 | Tied |
| 1120 | 1087 | 55% | 2010-11-16 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1047 | 47% | 2009-12-18 | Lost |
| 1098 | 881 | 78% | 2006-10-26 | Lost |
| 947 | 947 | 50% | 2001-07-06 | Lost |
| 972 | 1084 | 34% | 2000-02-12 | Lost |
| 1120 | 840 | 83% | | Lost |
| 840 | 1120 | 17% | | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1014.7 vs 1031.5 has a 47.58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).