Shoestring Ridge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 71 (14 on the archive and 57 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 30
Defender wins (American): 41
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
993 | 1023 | 46% | 2019-03-31 | Lost |
1292 | 1030 | 82% | 2015-12-22 | Lost |
954 | 990 | 45% | 2015-02-21 | Lost |
821 | 1067 | 20% | 2014-12-12 | Lost |
1133 | 1106 | 54% | 2014-10-28 | Lost |
1208 | 1191 | 52% | 2014-05-16 | Lost |
1058 | 1210 | 29% | 2013-09-14 | Lost |
1087 | 1120 | 45% | 2011-06-01 | Won |
1029 | 1047 | 47% | 2010-04-23 | Won |
1098 | 881 | 78% | 2006-11-26 | Won |
844 | 1084 | 20% | 2003-07-11 | Lost |
1084 | 1145 | 41% | 2002-05-20 | Lost |
988 | 947 | 56% | 2000-01-16 | Won |
1120 | 1000 | 67% | | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1050.6 vs 1060.1 has a 48.64% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).