Play Ball
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 88 (18 on the archive and 70 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Vichy French): 41
Defender wins (American): 45
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Vichy French): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 975 | 1006 | 46% | 2023-03-26 | Lost |
| 993 | 1023 | 46% | 2020-09-19 | Lost |
| 1106 | 965 | 69% | 2020-03-06 | Won |
| 932 | 1164 | 21% | 2020-03-06 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1006 | 52% | 2020-03-04 | Won |
| 981 | 1239 | 18% | 2018-10-30 | Lost |
| 956 | 965 | 49% | 2018-04-20 | Won |
| 1069 | 1169 | 36% | 2017-12-22 | Won |
| 1064 | 1064 | 50% | 2017-10-01 | Lost |
| 1006 | 962 | 56% | 2017-05-17 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1093 | 48% | 2015-08-30 | Won |
| 1228 | 995 | 79% | 2010-02-11 | Won |
| 1095 | 1037 | 58% | 2009-11-07 | Tied |
| 881 | 1006 | 33% | 2005-12-16 | Won |
| 955 | 1009 | 42% | 2005-09-18 | Lost |
| 933 | 1074 | 31% | 2001-10-01 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1055 | 53% | 2001-01-06 | Lost |
| 1084 | 910 | 73% | 1994-06-22 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1024.2 vs 1041.2 has a 47.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).