Fighting Back
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 71 (15 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 36
Defender wins (German): 34
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 962 | 1006 | 44% | 2023-03-01 | Won |
| 1292 | 1011 | 83% | 2022-02-28 | Lost |
| 881 | 1006 | 33% | 2021-06-26 | Lost |
| 1023 | 993 | 54% | 2020-09-12 | Won |
| 1169 | 1069 | 64% | 2020-08-09 | Tied |
| 890 | 1239 | 12% | 2017-03-13 | Lost |
| 1084 | 985 | 64% | 2015-06-28 | Won |
| 903 | 976 | 40% | 2015-06-19 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1073 | 71% | 2014-02-25 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1006 | 51% | 2014-02-12 | Won |
| 995 | 1047 | 43% | 2010-02-15 | Lost |
| 1092 | 947 | 70% | 2002-02-03 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1032 | 56% | 2000-09-01 | Lost |
| 1164 | 1185 | 47% | 1999-11-01 | Lost |
| 1084 | 949 | 69% | 1995-07-30 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1057.1 vs 1034.9 has a 53.19% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).