The Crux of Calais
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 62 (24 on the archive and 38 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 37
Defender wins (British): 25
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1006 | 49% | 2023-05-19 | Won |
| 903 | 984 | 39% | 2023-03-02 | Lost |
| 1006 | 975 | 54% | 2022-01-23 | Won |
| 1001 | 932 | 60% | 2021-12-27 | Lost |
| 1052 | 964 | 62% | 2021-11-27 | Won |
| 954 | 938 | 52% | 2021-11-19 | Won |
| 954 | 964 | 49% | 2021-10-19 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1239 | 24% | 2021-08-11 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1042 | 49% | 2021-08-10 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1012 | 50% | 2021-05-01 | Won |
| 1020 | 1020 | 50% | 2021-04-20 | Won |
| 1009 | 1020 | 48% | 2021-01-31 | Won |
| 993 | 1023 | 46% | 2020-11-16 | Lost |
| 1209 | 907 | 85% | 2020-11-11 | Won |
| 1006 | 962 | 56% | 2020-02-29 | Won |
| 1111 | 1238 | 32% | 2018-10-26 | Lost |
| 981 | 1239 | 18% | 2015-08-31 | Lost |
| 1069 | 1209 | 31% | 2014-11-11 | Lost |
| 983 | 1060 | 39% | 2013-12-18 | Won |
| 1075 | 983 | 63% | 2013-10-26 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1074 | 51% | 2011-03-07 | Lost |
| 1149 | 882 | 82% | 2008-10-05 | Won |
| 971 | 1279 | 15% | 2005-04-10 | Won |
| 981 | 1024 | 44% | 1994-12-18 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1025 vs 1040.7 has a 47.74% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).