Block Busting in Bokruisk
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 62 (28 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 30
Defender wins (German): 31
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 956 | 1209 | 19% | 2023-07-29 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1084 | 52% | 2023-01-30 | Won |
| 1101 | 963 | 69% | 2022-07-23 | Won |
| 1023 | 993 | 54% | 2022-01-31 | Won |
| 1149 | 1174 | 46% | 2020-11-22 | Won |
| 1075 | 1239 | 28% | 2019-09-13 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1238 | 24% | 2019-06-22 | Won |
| 907 | 1024 | 34% | 2019-02-16 | Won |
| 949 | 1058 | 35% | 2018-11-21 | Lost |
| 949 | 1058 | 35% | 2018-11-21 | Lost |
| 1058 | 978 | 61% | 2018-10-25 | Lost |
| 1058 | 906 | 71% | 2018-10-25 | Lost |
| 1238 | 1124 | 66% | 2017-06-23 | Won |
| 952 | 1238 | 16% | 2016-07-04 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1101 | 60% | 2016-06-29 | Tied |
| 965 | 1044 | 39% | 2016-05-07 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1003 | 61% | 2016-01-02 | Won |
| 1189 | 1084 | 65% | 2015-12-01 | Won |
| 1087 | 1178 | 37% | 2015-07-18 | Lost |
| 906 | 1084 | 26% | 2014-09-19 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1067 | 48% | 2014-07-20 | Won |
| 946 | 1043 | 36% | 2014-07-04 | Won |
| 1017 | 1006 | 52% | 2013-04-10 | Lost |
| 1164 | 1116 | 57% | 2009-11-01 | Won |
| 967 | 1066 | 36% | 2005-09-10 | Won |
| 1084 | 1095 | 48% | 2003-02-12 | Lost |
| 947 | 1092 | 30% | 2002-11-03 | Lost |
| 840 | 1074 | 21% | 1999-10-01 | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1034.3 vs 1083.5 has a 42.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).