The Agony of Doom
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21
Attacker wins (Russian): 7
Defender wins (German): 14
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 791 | 1101 | 14% | 2023-07-10 | Lost |
| 1023 | 993 | 54% | 2021-05-22 | Won |
| 1084 | 1033 | 57% | 2020-06-12 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1238 | 32% | 2020-02-08 | Lost |
| 1238 | 1111 | 68% | 2020-02-08 | Lost |
| 1207 | 969 | 80% | 2019-03-29 | Won |
| 1207 | 865 | 88% | 2019-02-24 | Won |
| 907 | 1024 | 34% | 2018-06-16 | Lost |
| 1207 | 1162 | 56% | 2018-02-26 | Lost |
| 841 | 1043 | 24% | 2017-11-11 | Lost |
| 1238 | 1124 | 66% | 2017-08-03 | Won |
| 1087 | 1178 | 37% | 2015-08-01 | Lost |
| 1113 | 903 | 77% | 2015-02-02 | Won |
| 916 | 977 | 41% | 2013-04-13 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1039 | 49% | 2012-11-19 | Won |
| 1006 | 986 | 53% | 2011-07-15 | Lost |
| 975 | 1006 | 46% | 2011-06-04 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1208 | 50% | 2006-02-04 | Won |
| 975 | 1006 | 46% | 2003-10-21 | Lost |
| 981 | 1024 | 44% | 1992-05-09 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1000 | 67% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1060.3 vs 1047.1 has a 51.89% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).