Turned Away
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35
Attacker wins (German): 16
Defender wins (Russian): 18
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1006 | 975 | 54% | 2024-11-23 | Lost |
| 1027 | 896 | 68% | 2024-11-20 | Lost |
| 955 | 1022 | 40% | 2022-09-07 | Won |
| 907 | 1024 | 34% | 2021-10-07 | Lost |
| 947 | 1062 | 34% | 2020-10-24 | Won |
| 819 | 1047 | 21% | 2020-06-21 | Lost |
| 1060 | 965 | 63% | 2020-04-27 | Lost |
| 1060 | 965 | 63% | 2020-04-27 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1009 | 51% | 2019-10-31 | Won |
| 1098 | 1101 | 50% | 2018-11-17 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1184 | 41% | 2017-07-10 | Won |
| 1239 | 1098 | 69% | 2017-06-20 | Won |
| 993 | 1023 | 46% | 2016-12-28 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1122 | 50% | 2015-10-29 | Lost |
| 983 | 1169 | 26% | 2015-03-23 | Lost |
| 1178 | 1087 | 63% | 2014-12-07 | Won |
| 954 | 982 | 46% | 2014-08-23 | Won |
| 1285 | 1279 | 51% | 2014-04-01 | Tied |
| 1228 | 1010 | 78% | 2014-02-21 | Won |
| 1043 | 697 | 88% | 2013-03-30 | Lost |
| 997 | 1006 | 49% | 2012-10-01 | Won |
| 1033 | 1033 | 50% | 2012-01-03 | Won |
| 1039 | 1040 | 50% | 2009-07-02 | Lost |
| 974 | 1012 | 45% | 2009-02-25 | Won |
| 1228 | 1003 | 79% | 2007-11-14 | Lost |
| 979 | 1208 | 21% | 2007-01-21 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1046 | 50% | 2006-02-02 | Won |
| 1030 | 1114 | 38% | 2005-08-27 | Won |
| 943 | 862 | 61% | 2005-03-05 | Won |
| 967 | 933 | 55% | 2005-02-28 | Lost |
| 1145 | 1084 | 59% | 2001-10-20 | Won |
| 1074 | 872 | 76% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
| 1120 | 840 | 83% | | Lost |
| 1120 | 840 | 83% | | Lost |
| 840 | 1120 | 17% | | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1045 vs 1020.9 has a 53.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).