Festung St. Edouard
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (American): 4
Defender wins (German (SS)): 10
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1064 | 1064 | 50% | 2023-11-05 | Lost |
| 881 | 1006 | 33% | 2023-09-03 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1012 | 50% | 2022-12-22 | Won |
| 1084 | 1067 | 52% | 2022-05-15 | Lost |
| 1003 | 954 | 57% | 2022-04-22 | Won |
| 946 | 1043 | 36% | 2016-10-22 | Lost |
| 919 | 919 | 50% | 2009-09-27 | Lost |
| 947 | 947 | 50% | 2008-06-15 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1133 | 63% | 2008-05-09 | Lost |
| 613 | 1098 | 6% | 2003-11-25 | Won |
| 890 | 1098 | 23% | 1997-12-07 | Won |
| 1120 | 840 | 83% | | Lost |
| 1120 | 840 | 83% | | Lost |
| 840 | 1120 | 17% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 976.2 vs 1010.1 has a 45.14% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).