China Girl
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 5
Defender wins (Japanese): 9
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1064 | 1064 | 50% | 2019-12-22 | Lost |
| 1043 | 946 | 64% | 2015-12-27 | Won |
| 1228 | 870 | 89% | 2014-09-10 | Won |
| 1067 | 823 | 80% | 2014-06-06 | Won |
| 1067 | 823 | 80% | 2014-06-06 | Won |
| 823 | 1067 | 20% | 2013-12-22 | Lost |
| 823 | 1067 | 20% | 2013-12-21 | Lost |
| 841 | 841 | 50% | 2010-04-17 | Lost |
| 988 | 947 | 56% | 2004-01-18 | Lost |
| 975 | 1006 | 46% | 2003-08-28 | Won |
| 1120 | 1084 | 55% | 2002-08-04 | Lost |
| 939 | 976 | 45% | 2000-06-02 | Lost |
| 992 | 1074 | 38% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
| 840 | 1120 | 17% | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 986.4 vs 979.1 has a 51.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).