The Prize
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 8
Defender wins (British): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1074 | 1040 | 55% | 2021-09-26 | Won |
| 791 | 1101 | 14% | 2021-09-21 | Lost |
| 954 | 1071 | 34% | 2020-12-13 | Won |
| 993 | 1023 | 46% | 2017-03-30 | Won |
| 1018 | 976 | 56% | 2014-03-28 | Lost |
| 959 | 959 | 50% | 2011-09-17 | Lost |
| 1164 | 1116 | 57% | 2009-09-20 | Won |
| 1279 | 977 | 85% | 2008-08-04 | Won |
| 1267 | 1030 | 80% | 2006-01-01 | Won |
| 1098 | 1091 | 51% | 2004-10-23 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1084 | 55% | 2003-09-28 | Lost |
| 1148 | 1208 | 41% | 2000-08-17 | Won |
| 890 | 1098 | 23% | 2000-05-15 | Won |
| 840 | 1120 | 17% | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1042.5 vs 1063.9 has a 46.93% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).